Don’t Be the Guy in a Scarf at 19 Degrees
Why Traders Need to Recalibrate as Market Conditions Change
Finally, spring has officially hit the UK.
One day it’s 19 degrees, sunny, and everyone’s dusting off the board shorts
Next day it’s 9 degrees, raining and BBQ plans are off
And the funny thing is…
On those 19-degree days, you see people walking around in coats, scarves, and woolly hats.
And you think, “Why are you doing that, you’re going to boil to death.”
Do you know why?
HABIT
It’s a habit.
They’ve been doing it for months.
Wake up. Throw on the layers. Head out the door.
The problem is… conditions have changed.
And they haven’t recalibrated.
Same goes for trading.
You might’ve been hammering breakouts the past few weeks.
Maybe selling into new lows has been working for you.
But then the market shifts…
- One day it’s a clean bull move.
- The next? A nasty reversal.
- Then a random doji out of nowhere just to throw you off guard.
If you just show up and do what worked yesterday, without checking the temp, you’ll be the idiot sweating in a scarf, wondering why your trades keep getting pinged.
So before you jump in today… pause.
Check the weather. Scan the charts.
Use your checklists.
Ask: “What are the market conditions today?”
Because yesterday might’ve called for trend following and momentum ignition…
But today?
It’s a t-shirt and mean reversion.
Calibrate. Then execute.